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This is a non-partisan projection of the outcome of the Green Party of Canada’s 2020 leadership race. This post updates the projection I posted on September 26th to account for last-minute data. Projection Annamie Paul wins the leadership in the 7th round,defeating Dimitri Lascaris 53.6% to 46.4%. Expected Round-by-Round Results The table below shows the…Keep reading
This is a non-partisan projection of the outcome of the Green Party of Canada’s 2020 leadership race. The projection is based on a statistical model, developed over the past year, that was designed specifically to project ranked-ballot leadership races in Canada. Using this model, 100,000 simulations were run and the results analyzed. Projection Annamie Paul…Keep reading
Some folks on social media have asked how the Green Party’s result in this election compares to past years. Here’s a chart: Year Leader Popular vote Seats 1984-2000 Trevor Hancock,Seymour Trieger,Chris Lea,Joan Russow 0.21-0.81% 0 2004 Jim Harris 4.32% 0 2006 Jim Harris 4.48% 0 2008 Elizabeth May 6.80% 0 2011 Elizabeth May 3.91% 1…Keep reading
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