November 2022 – Saul Bottcher

Projection: May to Win Green Party Leadership in Final Round

Former Green Party of Canada leader Elizabeth May sits on a wooden throne in the middle of the rainforest, wearing dark green robes and a golden crown, with a cone of light falling on her from above.

The Green Party of Canada will announce a new leader this evening. Toward the end of the party’s 2020 leadership race, I used public donation data to project that Annamie Paul would defeat Dimitri Lascaris 54%-46% in the final round, with Courtney Howard placing third with 21%. This proved to be pretty accurate: Paul defeatedContinue reading “Projection: May to Win Green Party Leadership in Final Round”

The Green Party of Canada Has Lost 11,000 Members

Image of a wilted sunflower in a pot in front of a window.

Anyone who follows Canadian politics is aware of the Green Party’s catastrophic performance in the 2021 election. After the party failed to nominate a full slate of candidates and saw its support collapse to 2.3% of votes Canada-wide, then-leader Annamie Paul publicly announced her resignation, comparing her experience as leader to crawling over broken glass.Continue reading “The Green Party of Canada Has Lost 11,000 Members”