Tag: green party of canada
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The Green Party of Canada is Dead—And That’s Okay
It’s been a tough few years for the Green Party of Canada, and the 2025 election was no exception: after being kicked out of the leader’s debates, the Greens fell…
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Is Canada Moving to a Two-Party System?
Canada’s most recent election had a result we haven’t seen in almost a century: the top two parties both got more than 40% of the popular vote. Smaller parties fared…
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2025 Election: What to Expect in the Final Week
The debates are over, advance voting has closed after a record turnout, and we’re into the final week before election day on April 28. Polling shows the gap between the…
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Projection: May to Win Green Party Leadership in Final Round
The Green Party of Canada will announce a new leader this evening. Toward the end of the party’s 2020 leadership race, I used public donation data to project that Annamie…
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The Green Party of Canada Has Lost 11,000 Members
Anyone who follows Canadian politics is aware of the Green Party’s catastrophic performance in the 2021 election. After the party failed to nominate a full slate of candidates and saw…
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Greens Fail to Nominate Full Slate; up to $1,000,000 of Public Funding At Risk
The deadline to nominate candidates for the September 20th election has passed, and for the first time in two decades, the Green Party has failed to nominate a full slate.…
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Slate Canyon: Expense Reimbursements and the Dilemma for Small Parties
In my previous post, I discussed the possibility that the Green Party of Canada may not run a full slate in the 2021 election, and could potentially lose hundreds of…
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Candidate Shortage a Serious Problem For Greens
Sluggish candidate nominations could trigger a death spiral for the Greens, affecting finances, debate inclusion, and popular support.
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Green Party of Canada Leadership Results: Updated Projection
This is a non-partisan projection of the outcome of the Green Party of Canada’s 2020 leadership race. This post updates the projection I posted on September 26th to account for…
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Green Party of Canada Leadership Results: A Projection
This is a non-partisan projection of the outcome of the Green Party of Canada’s 2020 leadership race. The projection is based on a statistical model, developed over the past year,…
Saul Bottcher 