Category: Politics
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Projection: May to Win Green Party Leadership in Final Round
The Green Party of Canada will announce a new leader this evening. Toward the end of the party’s 2020 leadership race, I used public donation data to project that Annamie…
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The Green Party of Canada Has Lost 11,000 Members
Anyone who follows Canadian politics is aware of the Green Party’s catastrophic performance in the 2021 election. After the party failed to nominate a full slate of candidates and saw…
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Projecting the 2021 Election, One Week Out
(Short on time? The projection is at the end of the post – search for “one-week projection” or scroll down.) Over the past few elections, the increasing number of polls…
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Greens Fail to Nominate Full Slate; up to $1,000,000 of Public Funding At Risk
The deadline to nominate candidates for the September 20th election has passed, and for the first time in two decades, the Green Party has failed to nominate a full slate.…
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Slate Canyon: Expense Reimbursements and the Dilemma for Small Parties
In my previous post, I discussed the possibility that the Green Party of Canada may not run a full slate in the 2021 election, and could potentially lose hundreds of…
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Candidate Shortage a Serious Problem For Greens
Sluggish candidate nominations could trigger a death spiral for the Greens, affecting finances, debate inclusion, and popular support.
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Green Party of Canada Leadership Results: Updated Projection
This is a non-partisan projection of the outcome of the Green Party of Canada’s 2020 leadership race. This post updates the projection I posted on September 26th to account for…
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Green Party of Canada Leadership Results: A Projection
This is a non-partisan projection of the outcome of the Green Party of Canada’s 2020 leadership race. The projection is based on a statistical model, developed over the past year,…
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Singh’s “Points of Difference”: National Unity
(This post is the second in a series. Previously, I examined Singh’s claim about Abortion Rights.) At the first Leader’s Debate on Sept 12th, 2019, NDP leader Jagmeet Singh proposed…
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Are Singh’s “Four Points of Difference” Between the Greens and NDP Legitimate?
During the Maclean’s–CityTV leader’s debate on September 12th 2019, NDP leader Jagmeet Singh contrasted his party with the Greens by naming four alleged points of difference between the parties. Are…
Saul Bottcher 