Category: Election Dynamics
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Greens Fail to Nominate Full Slate; up to $1,000,000 of Public Funding At Risk
The deadline to nominate candidates for the September 20th election has passed, and for the first time in two decades, the Green Party has failed to nominate a full slate.…
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Slate Canyon: Expense Reimbursements and the Dilemma for Small Parties
In my previous post, I discussed the possibility that the Green Party of Canada may not run a full slate in the 2021 election, and could potentially lose hundreds of…
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Candidate Shortage a Serious Problem For Greens
Sluggish candidate nominations could trigger a death spiral for the Greens, affecting finances, debate inclusion, and popular support.
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Green Party of Canada Leadership Results: Updated Projection
This is a non-partisan projection of the outcome of the Green Party of Canada’s 2020 leadership race. This post updates the projection I posted on September 26th to account for…
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Green Party of Canada Leadership Results: A Projection
This is a non-partisan projection of the outcome of the Green Party of Canada’s 2020 leadership race. The projection is based on a statistical model, developed over the past year,…
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PPC vs. Greens: An Update
My previous post asked whether the People’s Party of Canada had overtaken the Greens. In that post, I compared polling, membership levels, donations, and number of EDAs. Several months have…
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Have the People’s Party Overtaken the Greens?
Recent announcements from the People’s Party of Canada indicate that, in the three-and-a-half months since it formed, it may have already surpassed the Green Party of Canada to become Canada’s…
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Decade of Decline, Part 1.2: The Declining Number of Active EDAs
Since 2007, the Green Party of Canada has experienced an ongoing decline in the number of active EDAs (riding associations), and an erosion of the party’s core of long-established EDAs.…
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A week before the GPC convention, a poll puts them at 10%. What’s the real story?
An article published September 21st on ipolitics.ca carried the headline More Canadians than ever support Green Party. Reporting on an EKOS poll, the article quoted pollster Frank Graves as saying the…
Saul Bottcher 